recession was in the manufacturing sector. Assembly plants, parts
manufacturers and people involved with the sale of automobiles saw a sharp
decline in 2008 and 2009, Vitale said.
But fluctuations in areas such as retail and manufacturing were buffered
by the industries of education, health care and to some extent agriculture, he
said.
Some sectors of the economy have seen growth in employment in recent
years, Carey said. The sectors of education, heath services and government
were least affected by the recession in the Bowling Green area while
manufacturing, transportation and utilities and construction employment have
seen the biggest declines and haven't yet recovered to pre-recession levels.
The Warren County area has weathered the recession better than many areas
of the country, according to Brian Strow, associate professor of economics at
Western Kentucky University.
Education, which is a big part of the local economy, tends to do
particularly well during periods of recession because students will often make
the decision to stay in school and pursue higher levels of education when work
is scarce.
Business-friendly policies, an educated workforce and good infrastructure
mean the county is poised to take advantage of recovery, Strow said.
"I think largely we've positioned ourselves well," he said. "When there
is an increase in America's economic growth, we'll be in good position to take
advantage of that. It's just harder to buck the national trend."
While the unemployment rate in the area is coming down generally,
employment is staying relatively flat, Carey said. That's possible because of
a decline in the labor force, which happens most often when people stop
actively seeking jobs or sometimes move out of the area in question, she said.
The labor force in the Bowling Green area had fallen by nearly 2 percent by
September 2012, according to information provided by Carey.
In the Bowling Green area, the overall employment level is short about
1,860 jobs compared to the number of jobs when the recession began, according
to information provided by Carey. Manufacturing employment in the area is down
by 20 percent since the start of the recession and trade, transportation and
utilities employment is down about 8.5 percent.
"We're doing better than we were, but we've got a ways to go," she said.
A report released Friday showed that nationally, the unemployment rate
rose to 7.9 percent from 7.8 percent in September, mainly because many more
people began looking for work, and not all of them found jobs, according to
The Associated Press.
The Kentucky Education and Workforce Development Cabinet reported last
week that the Bowling Green area's preliminary unemployment rate for September
2012 is 6.6 percent, down from 7.5 percent in August and 7.9 percent in
September 2011.
Local signs of improvement
The best sign Bowling Green City Manager Kevin DeFebbo sees that the city
is recovering from the recession is that there is a new home going up in his
neighborhood. For about six years, he's seen no development there. In the last
few months, a house started going up nearby, he said.
Builders are still doing less work than before the recession in
southcentral Kentucky, and most people are still sticking with building more
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