News Column

Dollar rises to highest level against yen in over 4 months

August 20, 2014

Sophie Jackman



The U.S. dollar climbed to the highest level against the yen in four and a half months in Tokyo on Wednesday, hitting 103.34 yen at one point on optimism over the U.S. economy driven by upbeat housing data combined with a perceived ebb in geopolitical risks from Ukraine.

At 5 p.m., the dollar fetched 103.29-30 yen compared with 102.86-96 yen in New York and 102.59-61 yen in Tokyo at 5 p.m. Tuesday. It moved between 102.91 yen and 103.34 yen during the day, changing hands most frequently at 102.95 yen.

The euro was quoted at $1.3293-3294 and 137.31-35 yen against $1.3316-3326 and 137.04-14 yen in New York and $1.3351-3352 and 136.97-137.01 yen in Tokyo late Tuesday afternoon.

The dollar held firm in the upper 102 yen zone in the morning, maintaining its gains from New York overnight, before rising above the 103 yen line after midday to reach its highest level since early April as traders rode a wave of dollar buying, said Yuzo Sakai, manager of foreign exchange business promotion at Tokyo Forex & Ueda Harlow.

The dollar's rapid climb was not due to any fresh developments in Tokyo time but to "a combination of factors" underpinning the dollar, Sakai said, adding that once the dollar crossed the 103 yen barrier, mechanisms such as stop-loss orders set in and amplified its upward momentum.

In New York overnight, the outlook for the U.S. economy brightened as housing starts in July rose 15.7 percent from June to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.09 million, while building permits rose 8.1 percent to 1.05 million.

The dollar was also underpinned by renewed appetite for riskier assets after Russia said President Vladimir Putin and Ukrainian counterpart Petro Poroshenko will hold talks along with EU officials in Minsk, Belarus, next week.

But the U.S. currency's gains should be limited as long as market participants are split on the likely timing of an interest rate hike by the U.S. Federal Reserve as it exits from its stimulatory monetary policy, said Toru Moritani, chief market economist at Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corp.

Fed chair Janet Yellen could yet play down expectations of an early rate hike, which support dollar buying, in her speech Friday at the Kansas Fed's annual conference in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.

Optimism over Ukraine did not help the euro, which dropped against the dollar in London overnight before gradually sliding down in Tokyo, with the narrowing of the eurozone's current account surplus in June adding to long-standing concerns about the region's economies, Moritani said.

The European common currency rose against the yen in parallel with the closely linked dollar-yen pair.



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Source: Japan Economic Newswire


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