There is no objective reasons for another devaluation of the national currency in
"There is no objective economic reasons for devaluation now. The main external factor is the state of the Russian economy and the sanctions against it. This affects us - but indirectly and with a time lag. It is necessary to be prepared for it. But at the moment the impact is rather emotional," he believes.
The sanctions taken by the U.S. and the EU against
"Serious factor is
The Russian economy has slowed down, and it is likely to be reduced in size by the end of the year, according to Karibjanov. And Ukrainian events served as a background for this.
"This is bad, but it's not a disaster, it is not a stroke, but something like a permanent high-pressure: you will not die tomorrow, but if you are not treated, then sooner or later you will die. Western sanctions are severe, but the actual effect will be gradual, though imminent," he said.
He replied affirmative to the question whether all of this will affect
"Of course, it will. When the neighboring economy starts to "cool" in this way. But it will take time - months, even years. Despite the brilliance of what is happening in world politics, rapid changes are hardly possible," the expert wrote.
Although Karibjanov notes that there are no fundamental prerequisites for the devaluation. "Rather, they exist, but not now. The prices for main export commodities - oil and metals - have not changed in recent months. The receipt of hard currency remained unchanged. The previous devaluation was oversized. However, predictions is thankless,"he said.
Certain speculation was observed regarding the purchase of dollar by Astana`s exchangers on
At the same time, dollar`s rate was
Recall that in February following the adjustment of the exchange rate of the national currency by the country`s
Aidan Karibjanov ranked among the 50 most influential businessmen of
Edited by CN
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