The Internet research firm conducted its poll in conjunction with
It shows an additional 8 percent leaning toward Malloy, while Foley had 6 percent leaning toward his candidacy.
With just over three months to the November election, the poll shows Foley, a private equity manager from
Malloy is only ahead in the age 30-44 demographic, with 42 percent of the vote to 30 percent for Foley; but it is closer among the 45-64 age grouping, with 32 percent for Malloy to 39 percent for Foley.
The Republican is the clear favorite among voters age 65 and older, with 54 percent of the vote, to 30 percent for Malloy, according to the poll.
Foley, who won the nomination at the
Foley is in an
Malloy continues to beat the Republican contender among women, 42 percent to 29 percent, something other polls have shown consistently. It also shows another 11 percent leaning towards Malloy and 6 percent towards Foley.
Among men, Foley gets 51 percent to 26 percent for Malloy with 6 percent leaning toward each candidate.
Black voters favor Malloy 54 percent to 49 percent for Foley, while white voters are in Foley's camp 47 percent to 29 percent for the first-term governor.
In an analysis of Internet surveys,
It reports that this is the first poll using an online panel this year. Traditional polls use random-digit phone surveys, but the response rate there has been dropping.
The New York Times reports that Web panels reach 81 percent who use the Internet. This compares to 98 percent who can be reached by live telephone surveys. Only 63.5 percent can be reached by automated polling firms, because they cannot contact people on their cellphones.
The Times analysis points out that people who don't use the Internet and therefore are not part of the sampling "tend to be less educated, less affluent and more likely to be Hispanic or over age 65," which could affect the results.
Foley was happy with the announcement.
"Any poll that shows me up 9 points is certainly good news," Foley said. He said it shows that the public is "fed up" with traffic congestion in the state and high taxes under Malloy.
As for questions on the poll's reliability, Foley said the 9-point spread, even if not completely accurate, "leads a lot of room for error and you're still ahead."
The Democrats, when asked for comment, sent an analysis by the Daily Kos.
The Daily Kos said
The poll paints a better picture for Republicans across the
It urged caution, given that in 2012 the "margin of
It also took issue with not including "notable third-party" candidates in
Daily Kos conceded however, that "
The most recent Quinnipiac Poll has Malloy and Foley tied in the gubernatorial race.
McKinney, in a statement, said the
He said the poll "tells us nothing more than that neither
After Foley put
"Republican primary voters want an honest leader who can fix a broken state by bringing major change to
The Republican candidate said he is the only candidate who has "a plan to fix
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