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Dun & Bradstreet’s Global Economic Update for 2014 Reveals Recovery Amidst Risks of Continued Debt, Rising Interest Rates and Policy Gridlock in Emerging Markets

July 18, 2014

While long-term sentiments indicate restrained improvements, signs point to accelerating growth over the next few years

SHORT HILLS, N.J.--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- Dun & Bradstreet (NYSE:DNB), the world’s leading source of commercial information and insight on businesses, today announced the results of its Global Economic Update for 2014, based on deep analysis of its proprietary business data. The report confirms that the global economy is headed towards a period of modest growth as worldwide economic growth is driven by the gradual acceleration in developed economies.

In what is becoming a recurring theme, worldwide growth in real GDP is estimated at 2.7 percent, above last year’s marginal gain of 2.4 percent and well below 2007’s pre-recession rate of 5.2 percent. Although downside risk persists, Dun & Bradstreet predicts a continuation of this gradual acceleration over the next few years, citing a 3.3 percent worldwide growth increase in real GDP for 2015, with further advancements to occur over the next three years.

“While worldwide post-recession economic conditions remain challenged, we’re seeing an underlying resilience that is positioning the global economy’s potential for its strongest growth since 2009,” said Paul Ballew, chief economist at Dun & Bradstreet. “While the recovery has underperformed in 2014 our analysis supports a more positive outlook for 2015 to 2018, dependent in large part on stronger corporate strategies and smarter government policies.”

Mid-Year Global Economic Update Highlights

  • Long-term growth sentiments are improving

    Global GDP growth continues to dip below trends of previous years. Of the 132 countries assessed using D&B’s Country Risk Rating Score, 94 experienced a lower GDP in the first half of 2014, compared to a similar analysis of country GDPs in early 2008. According to the report, only 16 countries demonstrated improvements in GDP conditions when comparing these time periods. As growth estimates are revised upward for the next three years, global recovery is slowly becoming embedded.

  • Momentum is expected among high-income, advanced economies

    Private sector restructuring in advanced economies in combination with a decline in household debt levels are positioning developed economies for stronger growth over the next few years.

  • Headwinds continue to impede significant long-term economic growth

    Despite optimistic signs pointing to elevated growth, headwinds in the form of less accommodating monetary policies, rising interest rates and continued debt burdens present significant obstacles to growth. The need to accelerate development in emerging markets is more critical than ever to generating growth in those economies.

    To read the full Global Economic Outlook Report for 2014-2018, please visit http://www.dnb.com.

    D&B publishes its perspectives on macroeconomic trends and their impact on global business several times annually. Leveraging its global commercial database, Dun & Bradstreet provides insight on the health of industries, small businesses, and global and local economies.

    About Dun & Bradstreet® (D&B)

    The Dun & Bradstreet Corporation is the world's leading source of commercial data, analytics and insight on businesses. Our global commercial database contains more than 235 million business records. We transform commercial data into valuable insight which is the foundation of our global solutions that customers rely on to make critical business decisions.

    D&B provides solution sets that meet a diverse set of customer needs globally. Customers use D&B Risk Management Solutions™ to mitigate credit and supplier risk, increase cash flow and drive increased profitability, and D&B Sales & Marketing Solutions™ to provide data management capabilities that provide effective and cost efficient marketing solutions to increase revenue from new and existing customers.

    For more information, please visit www.dnb.com or follow @DnBUS.

    The Information provided in this Economic Update is not investment advice, constitutes general information only, must not be relied upon for investment purposes and represents the opinion of the author only as of the date hereof.



    Dun & Bradstreet

    Media:

    Michele Caselnova, 973-921-5196

    caselnovam@dnb.com

    or

    Investor:

    Kathy Guinnessey, 973-921-5892

    Kathy.Guinnessey@dnb.com

    Source: D&B


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