News Column

Brent Holds Near Us$115, Heads for Gain On Iraq Turmoil

June 23, 2014

BRENT crude held near US$115 a barrel on Friday, close to a nine-month high, and was headed for its second weekly gain on increased risks of disruption to supply from Iraq.

Iraqi government forces battled Sunni militants for control of the country's biggest refinery on Thursday. If the 300 000 barrels per day refinery stays closed, Baghdad will need to import more oil products to meet its own domestic consumption, further tightening oil markets.

Fields south of Baghdad, where most of Iraq's 3,3 million barrels per day (bpd) of oil is produced, as well as exports remain unaffected. But heavy fighting north of the capital and foreign oil firms beginning to pull out staff pose a risk to supplies from OPEC's number two producer.

"This raises the risk of production halts in the near future, so although there are no disruptions at the moment, we do see further upside to prices," said Ken Hasegawa, a Tokyo-based commodity sales manager at Newedge Japan.

Brent crude slipped nine cents to US$114,97 a barrel at 06h21 GMT, after ending 80 cents higher at US$115,06 a barrel, the highest settlement since 6 September 2013. The contract was up 1,4% for the week, after rising 4,4% last week.

The US crude oil contract, which expires on Friday, increased 14 cents to US$106,57 a barrel. The contract settled 46 cents higher in the previous session, but was on course for a third weekly decline in four.

"Brent is at a high for the year, triggering some short covering and possibly adding further long positions," said Hasegawa. "The contract may go to a previous high of around US$117,30 hit last August."

The market is keeping an eye on the situation in Iraq for more trading cues. "The south of the country is not beyond the geographic reach of extremist groups seeking to undermine the government," analysts at Barclays said in a note. - Nampa-Reuters

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Source: AllAfrica

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