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IMF cuts US growth outlook, urges to boost minimum wage

June 16, 2014

Reuters



Washington: The International Monetary Fund (IMF) cut its growth forecast for the United States on Monday and said the economy would not reach full employment until the end of 2017, allowing the Federal Reserve to bide its time before raising interest rates.



In its annual health check of the US economy, the IMF also urged the US to boost the minimum wage, which is below most international standards, to fight poverty, which lingers above 15 per cent.



The IMF forecast economic growth of 2 per cent this year, below the 2.8 per cent rate it predicted in April, due to a weak first quarter. It kept its 2015 forecast unchanged at 3 per cent.



"Recent data ... suggest a meaningful rebound in activity is now underway and growth for the remainder of this year and 2015 should well exceed potential," the IMF said.



Yet the country's potential growth should only be around 2 per cent going forward, below historical averages, as the population ages and productivity growth slows, it added.

 

"Given the substantial economic slack in the economy, there is a strong case to provide continued policy support," the IMF said.



It said its forecasts show the US economy would only return to full employment by the end of 2017, with inflation remaining low, suggesting the Fed could keep rates at zero for longer than the middle of 2015.

 

The IMF urged the United States to increase spending on infrastructure and education and change parts of its tax system, including boosting the federal gasoline tax and reinstating the tax credit for research and development, to help spur growth.



In the future, the United States should also reform corporate taxes, introduce a carbon tax and move toward a federal value-added tax, the IMF said.



A greater reliance on growth-enhancing fiscal policies could allow the Fed to retreat more quickly from its extraordinary monetary stimulus, it added.


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Source: Times of Oman


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