News Column

Trading Video: Fresh Extremes for USDollar, EURUSD and USDJPY

May 5, 2014

John Kicklighter









Talking Points:



** Activity levels continue to collapse - leveraging the risk of heavy breakouts as conditions 'normalize'

** USDollar joined the crowd of extremes with one of the smallest trading ranges on record

** While waiting for a resolution to 'risk' inactivity; the Euro, Pound and Aussie face event risk



See Today's Strategy Video to learn more about picking the proper strategy for the given market backdrop (discussing USDJPY in particular)



The pressure keeps building. On one hand, we have high profile congestion patterns on liquid benchmarks (S&P 500, USDollar, EURUSD) screaming breakout risk. On the other, volatility measures collapse to ever lower levels. This is an unsustainable contrast that leverages the risk of breakouts rather than promises a calm and steady market outlook. A resolution to the many alarming technical patterns likely comes from a catalyst with scope - a systemic shift in risk appetite. Yet, we can't subsist on placing medium-term trades awaiting the breakout to eventually come. There are short-term catalysts and those currencies and pairs that are not so beholden to speculative appetites. We look at the bigger picture as well as individual movers in the Euro, Aussie and Pound in today's Trading video.








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Source: DailyFx


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