The rating actions affect approximately
The ratings and Stable Outlook reflect Fitch's expectations that Jabil's operating performance will begin improving in fiscal 2015 from the resumption of revenue growth and profit margin expansion, following a challenging fiscal 2014 (ended
Fitch believes Jabil will be challenged to organically replace more than
The resumption of revenue growth, operating leverage and cost savings from restructuring should drive operating EBITDA margin to 6.0%-6.5% in fiscal 2015, after achieving a trough in the mid-5% range in fiscal 2014. The company's restructuring actions, including those associated with winding down operations with Blackberry Ltd. (Blackberry), are expected to be completed in fiscal 2014.
Nonetheless, Fitch expects free cash flow (FCF), (calculated after dividends) usage could be more than
Customer concentration remains a key concern, given the company's top five customers represented 46% of revenues for the six months ended
In addition to greater capabilities in the manufacture of precision plastic products, Nypro strengthens Jabil's participation in healthcare, packaging and consumer electronics industries. Nypro positions Jabil as the leader in the healthcare space, and Fitch believes this end market will provide significant growth opportunities over the longer term.
The ratings and Outlook incorporate Fitch's expectations that annual FCF could be used for acquisitions or modest share repurchases. Fitch believes acquisitions are likely to be relatively small and focused on nontraditional end markets. The company has approximately
Credit protection measures will strengthen from higher profitability and remain solid for the rating. Fitch expects total leverage (total debt to operating EBITDA) will remain below 2.5 times (x), with total adjusted leverage (total debt adjusted for rent expense to operating EBITDAR) below 3.0x. Fitch anticipates interest coverage (operating EBITDA to gross interest expense) will range from 5x-10x, with funds from operations (FFO) interest coverage of more than 5x. For the latest 12 months (LTM) ended
The ratings are supported by:
--Jabil's scale advantages as one of the largest of the tier 1 EMS vendors with a balanced global manufacturing footprint, including a strong mix of facilities in low-cost regions. Jabil's full suite of increasingly complex EMS product offerings including product design, engineering, and product lifecycle management, which enhance the value of EMS partnerships for customers;
--Favorable industry trends toward increased outsourcing of product design consultation, component sourcing, manufacturing, and fulfillment logistics;
--Jabil's focus on underpenetrated, rapidly growing areas like the industrial, medical, and defense and aerospace verticals. Jabil has a leading position in the emerging industrial, medical, and clean tech space. Customer engagements in these sectors tend to be much deeper with longer product life-cycles and increased opportunity for cross-selling services;
Rating concerns include:
--Significant customer concentration risk with Jabil's top five customers accounting for 46% of revenue for the six months ended
--Minimal room for execution missteps, due to the relatively low profit margin inherent in the EMS business model;
--Volatile FCF due to substantial working capital and capital expenditure requirements.
Future developments that may, individually or collectively, lead to negative rating action include:
--Sustained total leverage exceeds 2.5x, likely due to margin compression following loss of significant customer(s) or secular shifts. The current ratings incorporate expectations for short-term margin volatility but also assume visibility with respect to profit margins recovering to historical levels in the near term.
--Lack of further end markets diversification over the longer-term, leaving the company susceptible to significant operational shortfalls from lower than expected volumes for a limited number of products;
--Inability to generate positive annual FCF through the cycle.
Positive rating actions are unlikely in the near term given Jabil's thin operating margin profile and inconsistent annual FCF. Fitch believes a positive rating action would require structurally lower leverage through the cycle (total adjusted leverage near 2.5x) and annual FCF approaching
Pro forma for
Jabil also utilizes two accounts receivable securitization facilities for additional liquidity purposes, both of which are located off balance sheet: a
Total debt as of
Jabil also had approximately
Fitch affirms Jabil's ratings as follows:
--Long-term IDR at 'BBB-';
--Senior unsecured RCF at 'BBB-';
--Senior unsecured debt at 'BBB-'.
Additional information is available at 'www.fitchratings.com'.
--'Corporate Rating Methodology' (
Corporate Rating Methodology: Including Short-Term Ratings and Parent and Subsidiary Linkage
Source: Fitch Ratings
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