NZD/USD Technical Strategy: Flat
Support: 0.8555 (trend line), 0.8500-13 (38.2% Fib ret., Oct 22 close)
Resistance: 0.8607 (23.6% Fib ret.), 0.86722 (14.6% Fib ret.)
The New Zealand Dollar turned lower as expected against its US namesake after putting in a Bearish Engulfing candlestick pattern below resistance at 0.8745, the April 10 high. Sellers are now testing support at 0.8555, a rising trend line set from late March. A break below this barrier exposes the 0.8500-13 area, marked by the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and the October 22 close. Alternatively, a daily close above 0.8606, the 23.6% level, targets the 14.6% Fib at 0.8672.
Prices are too close to relevant support to justify a short position from a risk/reward perspective. We will remain on the sidelines for now, waiting for a more actionable trade setup to present itself.