News Column

US Dollar Bottom Comfirmation Pending, SPX 500 Eyeing 1900 Anew

May 12, 2014

Ilya Spivak

Talking Points:



  • US Dollar: Double Bottom Setup Confirmation Pending
  • S&P 500 Surges to Test Record High Below 1900 Mark
  • Gold, Crude Oil Prices Locked in Consolidation Mode









    US DOLLAR TECHNICAL ANALYSIS - Prices may be in the process of setting a double bottom at 10375, the October 22 close. Initial confirmation requires a breach of resistance is at 10469, marked by the top of a falling channel that has guided the greenback lower since the beginning of the year. A daily close above this barrier initially targets horizontal support-turned-resistance at 10495.



    US Dollar Bottom Comfirmation Pending, SPX 500 Eyeing 1900 Anew









    S&P 500 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS - Prices rebounded as expected after putting in a Piercing Line candlestick pattern. The index launched higher to test resistance in the 1898.90-99.10 area marked by the 61.8% Fibonacci expansion and the April 4 high. A break above this barrier on a daily closing basis exposes the 76.4% level at 1910.50. Alternatively, a reversal below support at 1889.60, the 50% Fib, targets the 38.2% expansion at 1880.30.



    US Dollar Bottom Comfirmation Pending, SPX 500 Eyeing 1900 Anew







    GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS - Prices are consolidating below resistance in the 1310.74-15.60 area, marked by the top of a descending Triangle chart formation and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. A break above that on daily closing basis targets the 50% level at 1330.18. The descending Triangle argues in favor of bearish continuation however (though confirmation is absent for now). Near-term support is at 1277.00, the Triangle bottom, followed by the April 24 low at 1268.40.



    US Dollar Bottom Comfirmation Pending, SPX 500 Eyeing 1900 Anew









    CRUDE OIL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS - Prices are consolidating above the psychologically significant $100/barrel figure. Breaking below the 23.6% Fibonacci expansion at 99.67 exposes the 38.2% level at 98.76. Alternatively, a bounce above the 38.2% Fib retracement at 101.11 sees the next upside barrier at 101.85.



    US Dollar Bottom Comfirmation Pending, SPX 500 Eyeing 1900 Anew






















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    Source: DailyFx


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