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Forex Strategy: USD/JPY Hammer Hinting at Uptrend Continuation

February 10, 2014

David de Ferranti

Talking Points

  • USD/JPY Technical Strategy: Hammer formation near 102.00 favors upside
  • Longs preferred with target of previous high near 102.63
  • The small correction within the context of a broader uptrend supports a bullish bias

    The recent correction in USD/JPY has found some buying support at the psychologically significant 102.00 handle, which is just shy of the 38.2% Fib Retracement level. Another Hammer candle formation on the four hour chart may be hinting at some further upside potential for the pair. From a purely technical perspective longs are preferred with a target of the recent high of 102.630, and a stop below nearby support at 102.00. This would offer a reward of 38 pips with a risk of 26 pips.

    However, when taking a look at the economic calendar, fundamental event risk is posed by upcoming testimony from recently-inducted Fed Chair Janet Yellen. A dovish tone from the central banker may prompt further speculation over the timing of future stimulus cuts by the FOMC and weaken the US Dollar.

    Forex_Strategy_USDJPY_Hammer_Hinting_at_Uptrend_Continuation_body_Picture_1.png, Forex Strategy: USD/JPY Hammer Hinting at Uptrend Continuation

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    Source: DailyFx

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