German Chancellor Angela Merkel is facing a
challenge to her tough line on fiscal austerity as unemployment
continues to rise across the eurozone and the region faces up to the
threat of a prolonged recession.
Hope of an early recovery from recession suffered another setback
this week following figures showing the number of jobless in France
and Spain swelling to record levels and key economic indicators gave
a negative outlook.
This has led to calls for a shift away from the fiscal austerity
spearheaded by Merkel and added to expectations that the ECB will
deliver a 25-basis-point cut in interest rates next week to spur
growth.
Italy's prime minister-designate Enrico Letta this followed up
remarks by European Commission President Jose Manuel Barroso on
easing fiscal austerity, saying Europe's policy of budget
consolidation was "no longer sufficient."
"Germany's position on fiscal consolidation is under pressure,"
said Commerzbank economist Rainer Guntermann.
Merkel helped to fuel speculation about ECB's next move on rates
when she took the highly unusual step of entering the debate on the
Frankfurt-based central bank's deliberations on monetary policy.
Speaking at a banking conference in Dresden on Thursday, Merkel
said the ECB faced a dilemma as it attempts to strike a balance
between the monetary needs of stronger economies like Germany and
weaker eurozone members.
"The ECB is obviously in a difficult position," Merkel said.
Some analysts believe that a rate cut might not be in Germany's
best interests at the moment.
Instead of the ECB's current one-size-fits all monetary policy,
some analysts believe the bank should consider coordinating action
more with other institutions such as the European Investment Bank to
foster economic growth by targeting specific problem.
"For Germany (the ECB) would actually have to raise rates slightly
at the moment, but for other countries it would have to do even more
for more liquidity to be made available," Merkel told the bankers.
German ECB executive board member Joerg Asmussen has questioned
the benefits arising from lower interest rates in both boosting
economic growth and helping debt-hit eurozone member states emerge
from the recession.
"The costs of very low interest rates are real and they rise over
time," Asmussen told a business conference in Frankfurt.
The debate about interest rates in the eurozone was accompanied by
the publication in the German media of a paper drawn up by the German
central bank criticizing the ECB's strategy to resolve the eurozone's
long-running crisis.
In the paper presented to Germany's top court, the Constitutional
Court, and leaked to the German business daily Handelsblatt, the
Bundesbank took aim at the ECB's government-bond buying programme,
saying it was a threat to the bank's independence.
ECB President Mario Draghi sees the government-bond buying
programme as playing a key role in helping stabilize the eurozone
since the programme was unveiled last year.
Draghi has also stressed the need for governments to back it up by
pressing on with economic reforms.
The question now is how the ECB will react to attempts by eurozone
leaders to give members - including France - more leeway to meeting
their deficit targets.
However, both Draghi and Merkel are likely to agree that those
nations should use any leeway they are granted to press on with
cleaning up their state finances rather than measures to stimulate
their economies.
With a German parliamentary election just five months way, the
chancellor will not want to be seen as going soft on cash-strapped
eurozone states.
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News Column
Merkel Faces Backlash From Austerity Drive
April 26, 2013
Andrew McCathie, dpa
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Source: Copyright 2013 dpa Deutsche Presse-Agentur GmbH
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