Pandora investors are being forced to think outside of the box. The online-radio broadcaster lacks many of the fundamentals traditional
investors look for, namely free cash flow and profit. Without key fundamental measures such as earnings to base the stock's valuation on, investors are left to guess and project when trying to decide if the stock is a buy.
There's a large degree of blind faith needed with Pandora. Of primary concern is
the fact that the company is burning cash. Pandora consumed $5.7 million in cash
from operations after capital expenditures over the past 12 months. Because of
the company's negative free cash flow, investors can't accurately measure the
stock's value using a discounted cash flow analysis.
But with that said, Pandora seems to be fairly well funded. The company has $89
million in cash and short-term investments as of January, giving it many years
of a cushion even at its annual cash burn rate.
Meanwhile, the company appears to be turning things around a bit. Pandora
reported a $14.6 million loss during the most recent quarter ended in January.
But, more important to the company's sustainability, it turned free cash flow
positive during the quarter to the tune of $6.8 million. The company is also
increasing its revenue, including a 54% increase in the January quarter.
The company is clearly moving in the right direction and seems to have the
resources to keep plugging away at its current trajectory.
But there are still enormous questions, including the risk of competition from
rivals ranging from Apple to Spotify. If new rivals threaten Pandora's already
fragile business model, it would not be music to investors' ears. These dangers
still make Pandora a big question mark for investors.
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News Column
Is Pandora a Good Stock?
March 20, 2013
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Source: Copyright USA TODAY 2013
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