Catch up with the latest headlines involving American Airlines'
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For most of the past 14 months, the leaders of bankrupt AMR Corp.
have actively resisted a merger with US Airways, but those arguments
finally appear to be fading.
The buzz on Wall Street is that a deal could be signed this week.
If it happens, the merger will get a lot of support in Tulsa, where
American employs about 7,000 people and operates its largest
maintenance base.
"We see the combination as the best option for the two airlines
to be successful and for Tulsa to be successful," said John Hewitt,
chairman of maintenance at Transport Workers Union Local 514 in
Tulsa, which represents about 6,000 mechanics and related work
groups locally.
A merger would create little overlap, said Robert Herbst, a
former commercial pilot, veteran industry consultant and founder of
airlinefinancials.com. Herbst first predicted American and US
Airways would end up together about two years ago and repeated his
forecast when AMR filed for bankruptcy in November 2011.
"Both are flying near their capacity right now," Herbst said in a
telephone interview. "They won't need to cut a lot of operations.
There may be a few management and front-office jobs that go
companywide - maybe 1 percent - but I doubt you'll see any
losses in Tulsa."
American's top leaders, including CEO Thomas Horton, have argued
since the first day of bankruptcy that they believe it would be a
better strategy to emerge as an independent airline before
considering merger offers.
The carrier has been fiercely pursued by US Airways CEO Doug
Parker, however, since January 2012.
In recent weeks, rumors have intensified that Parker is making
strong headway toward his goal. Sources say the two airlines now are
talking and studying the numbers, working under nondisclosure
agreements that expire Friday.
Why would Horton and his group finally cave in?
"I don't want to sound crass, but it's likely US Airways is
crafting a lucrative package for American's senior managers to go
out the door gracefully," Herbst said.
The merger would create the world's largest airline - one that
would have the potential to soar above its rivals, which themselves
have grown through consolidation in the past decade. Currently,
American is the No. 3 carrier based on passenger traffic with US
Airways No. 5.
A united American and US Airways would be valued at almost $13.1
billion, Dan McKenzie, a Buckingham Research Group Inc. analyst in
New York, told Bloomberg News recently.
Some analysts have speculated that US Airways will end up owning
about 30 percent of American Airlines, and AMR's creditors would
control 70 percent. Even under that arrangement, US Airways would be
the dominant entity, consultants say.
That would mean Parker would achieve his dream of running
American, which he has said would keep its name and its Fort Worth,
Texas, headquarters. Where such a deal would leave Horton and other
AMR managers is not known.
That's OK with the TWU, Hewitt said. The union has been critical
of American's management for years, particularly for the bonuses
paid to higher-ups while the rank and file faced stagnant
compensation.
"Part of our expectation in a merger is that we would see some
new management faces in Tulsa," the union official said. "There's
not a lot of confidence in the current team."
The TWU already has pre-negotiated some of its terms with US
Airways, including a 4.3 percent across-the-board raise when the
merger is completed. That pay increase would come in addition to a
smaller salary bump that already is part of its new contract with
American.
The only thing the TWU would have to give up is a 5 percent
profit-sharing plan. "But we think we would earn more from the
raise," Hewitt said. "And it would help our 401(k) savings plans."
Because the current merger talks most likely include all the
large interested parties in the bankruptcy case, approval could be
swift, analysts said. The government also would have to certify the
combination, but that process probably would happen quickly as well,
said Seth Kaplan, editor of Airline Weekly.
Some airline mergers have taken awhile to gel, but Kaplan said
the combination of American and Tempe, Ariz.-based US Airways could
be especially efficient.
"They could set up to work together as partners even before
everything's finalized," he said.
The two could code-share, or allow booking on each others'
flights, and open up frequent-flier programs to both groups of
customers, the analyst said.
"They will want to start enjoying the synergies as soon as
possible," Kaplan said. "Overall, I think they could be flying as
one airline within two years."
Company Fact Sheet: AMERICAN AIRLINES
Total daily flights: 3,500 daily departures
Total destinations: 260 cities and airports
Total countries/territories served: 50
Total employees: 61,457, including 7,000 in Tulsa
Hub operations: Dallas/Fort Worth, Chicago, New York, Miami, Los
Angeles
Company Fact Sheets: US AIRWAYS
Total daily flights: 3,028 daily departures
Total destinations: 198
Total countries/territories served: 28
Total employees: 32,213
Hub operations: Charlotte, N.C.; Philadelphia; Phoenix
Sources: AMR Corp., US Airways Group Inc
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News Column
US Air, American Merger Buzz
Feb 11, 2013
John Stancavage World Business Editor
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