News Column

Predictions for Tonight's Grammys

Feb. 10, 2013

Kevin C. Johnson

Grammy predictions

Feb. 10--Grammy voters have their work cut out for them this time around. Unlike last year, when Adele was the clear Grammy standout, this year's leading nominees represent a cross-section of talent with no obvious dominant winner. Several acts lead with six nominations each -- fun., Frank Ocean, Mumford & Sons, Kanye West, Jay-Z and Dan Auerbach of the Black Keys. At Sunday night's ceremony, the final tally could go to breakout act Ocean's stirring new soul or to the pop bliss of fun. -- or the hip-hop swag of Jay-Z and Kanye West or the hip folk of Mumford & Sons. Here is how some of the winners may shake out:

Album of the Year

-- "El Camino," the Black Keys

-- "Some Nights," fun.

-- "Babel," Mumford & Sons

-- "Channel Orange," Frank Ocean

-- "Blunderbuss," Jack White

Prediction -- A deserving field of youthful-skewing releases leads to a tight fight with the Black Keys squeezing out the win.

Record of the Year

-- "Lonely Boy," the Black Keys

-- "Stronger (What Doesn't Kill You)," Kelly Clarkson

-- "We Are Young," fun. featuring Janelle Monae

-- "Somebody That I Used to Know," Goyte featuring Kimba

-- "Thinkin About You," Frank Ocean

-- "We Are Never Ever Getting Back Together," Taylor Swift

Prediction -- Nothing was more unusual yet as likable as "Somebody That I Used to Know."

Song of the Year

-- "The A Team," Ed Sheeran, songwriter (Ed Sheeran)

-- "Adorn," Miguel Pimentel (Miguel)

-- "Call Me Maybe," Tavish Crowe, Carly Rae Jepsen, Josh Ramsay (Carly Rae Jepsen)

-- "Stronger (What Doesn't Kill You)," Jorgen Elofsson, David Gamson, Greg Kurstin, Ali Tamposi (Kelly Clarkson)

-- "We Are Young," Jack Antonoff, Jeff Bhasker, Andrew Dost, Nate Ruess (fun. featuring Janelle Monae)

Prediction -- Fun. can carry this prize home Sunday night.

Best New Artist

-- Alabama Shakes

-- fun.

-- Hunter Hayes

-- The Lumineers

-- Frank Ocean

Prediction -- Ocean swims away with this award, but not without stiff competition from fun.

Pop Solo Performance

-- "Set Fire to the Rain (live)," Adele

-- "Stronger (What Doesn't Kill You)," Kelly Clarkson

-- "Call Me Maybe," Carly Rae Jepsen

-- "Wide Awake," Katy Perry

-- "Where Have You Been," Rihanna

Prediction -- Grammy voters like bringing back the previous year's big winner. Hello, Adele.

Pop Vocal Album

-- "Stronger," Kelly Clarkson

-- "Ceremonials," Florence + the Machine

-- "Some Nights," fun.

-- "Overexposed," Maroon 5

-- "The Truth About Love," Pink

Prediction -- Fun.'s got it in the bag, though it would be nice to see Florence + the Machine twirl away with this one.

Best Rock Album

-- "El Camino," the Black Keys

-- "Mylo Xyloto," Coldplay

-- "The 2nd Law," Muse

-- "Wrecking Ball," Bruce Springsteen

-- "Blunderbuss," Jack White

Prediction -- The Black Keys unlock this win.

Best Alternative Music Album

-- "The Idler Wheel is Wiser Than the Driver of the Screw and Whipping Cords Will Serve You More Than Ropes Will Ever Do," Fiona Apple

-- "Biophilia," Bjork

-- "Making Mirrors," Goyte

-- "Hurry Up, We're Dreaming," M83

-- "Bad as Me," Tom Waits

Prediction -- Fiona Apple, for the acceptance speech alone.

Urban Contemporary Album

-- "Fortune," Chris Brown

-- "Kaleidoscope Dream," Miguel

-- "Channel Orange," Frank Ocean

Prediction -- The verdict's out on who won in their recent parking lot scuffle, but Ocean beats Brown here.

R&B Album

-- "Black Radio," Robert Glasper Experiment

-- "Back to Love," Anthony Hamilton

-- "Write Me Back," R. Kelly

-- "Beautiful Surprise," Tamia

-- "Open Invitation," Tyrese

Prediction -- Robert Glasper Experiment is easily the most deserving, but Kelly triumphs.

Rap Album

-- "Take Care," Drake

-- "Food and Liquor II: The Great American Rap Album, Pt. 1," Lupe Fiasco

-- "Life is Good," Nas

-- "Undun," the Roots

-- "God Forgives, I Don't," Rick Ross

-- "Based on a T.R.U. Story," 2 Chainz

Prediction -- Three-way race between Nas, the Roots and Drake sees Drake at the finish line, furthering angering Brown.

Best Country Album

-- "Uncaged," Zac Brown Band

-- "Hunter Hayes," Hunter Hayes

-- "Living for a Song: A Tribute to Hank Cochran," Jamey Johnson

-- "Four the Record," Miranda Lambert

-- "The Time Jumpers," the Time Jumpers

Prediction -- Lambert may have only one thing to say to all the gents in this category: Better luck next year.

Kevin C. Johnson is the popular music critic and nightlife reporter at the Post-Dispatch. Follow him on Twitter at kevincjohnson and add him on Facebook at kevincjohnsonstl.

The 55th Annual Grammy Awards

Who -- Scheduled performers include Justin Timberlake, Taylor Swift, Dierks Bentley, Miranda Lambert, the Black Keys, Kelly Clarkson, fun., the Lumineers, Miguel, Wiz Khalifa, Mumford & Sons, Frank Ocean, Taylor Swift, Carrie Underwood, Jack White, Elton John and Ed Sheeran, Alicia Keys and Maroon 5, Bruno Mars, Rihanna and Sting.

When -- 7 p.m. Sunday

Where -- CBS

More info -- Join Kevin C. Johnson for live updates Sunday night at and on Twitter at @kevincjohnson.


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