After a lost election and weeks of futile budget wrangling, the
public image of the Republican Party nationally has sunk to what pollsters are
calling unprecedented lows.
Some Republicans are even worried about their party's long-term
viability.
But Florida Republicans are not overcome with gloom, according to
interviews with elected officials, party officials and political strategists.
Several said the party's image woes, while significant, are a cyclical
low caused by circumstances that will pass, and won't severely affect
Republican candidates at the ballot box.
"Polls are a snapshot in time, and change depending on who the respective
standard-bearers are of each party," said Justin Sayfie, a long-time GOP
fundraiser and political insider.
"Neither party can claim dominance of the American electorate, especially
in Florida," he said, citing GOP control of the state Legislature, governor's
office, Cabinet and congressional delegation. "Polls are polls, and nothing
more."
Some of those polls, however, have shown scary numbers for the GOP --
disapproval ratings approaching 2 to 1.
In a Pew Research Center poll, 33 percent expressed a favorable opinion
of the party and 58 percent negative; the Democratic Party got roughly even
ratings, 47 percent favorable and 46 percent unfavorable.
In an NBC/Wall Street Journal poll, Republicans got 26 percent positive
ratings to 49 percent negative and 24 percent neutral; Democrats got 44
percent positive, 38 percent negative and 17 percent neutral.
A bipartisan Purple Strategies Poll in 12 swing states found 28 percent
favorable and 56 percent unfavorable opinions of the GOP, while Democrats got
42 percent favorable and 46 percent unfavorable.
The polls suggest some Republicans have lost satisfaction with their own
party. Only 65 percent of Republicans rated their party favorably in the
Purple Poll, while 87 percent of Democrats rated their party favorably.
"We've never seen anything like this" in polls going back to 1992, said
Pew researcher Michael Dimock.
He said both parties are getting lower ratings than usual, but
Republicans "have been in this deeply negative territory for more than two
years -- that's pretty new."
Dimock said the negatives "are linked to the impression that they are a
party of extremists, unwilling to compromise," and to issues on which the
public generally sides with Democrats -- gay rights, abortion, immigration,
Social Security and Medicare.
It's worse, he said, because the GOP currently lacks a well-known leader
to deliver its message, "a problem the party that's not in the presidency
always faces."
Dimock said there's a bright spot: The public is more attuned to the GOP
on national debt and fiscal policy, which may dominate the national debate for
the next few months.
"The more they can keep the debate on those issues, the better off
they'll be," he said.
Retired University of South Florida political scientist Darryl Paulson, a
Republican, believes the party's problems may be overstated by the polls, but
still worries that its very future could be in question, in part because it
faces a demographic time bomb.
By 2020, he said, estimates are that Florida will be 40 percent nonwhite,
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News Column
Reeling GOP Seeks Connection With Fla. Voters
Jan. 28, 2013
William March
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