Apple's latest iPhone was introduced last week with only incremental changes. It seemed to signal that the industry has entered an era of technological bunny hops.
The arrival of the original iPhone in 2007 was a quantum leap for
cellphones. Phones had never worked or looked like that.
The iPhone 5 that Apple introduced last week with only
incremental changes seemed to signal that the industry had entered
an era of technological bunny hops.
Faster chips, bigger screens and speedier wireless Internet
connections are among the refinements smartphone users can count on
year after year in new models, most of them in familiar rectangular
packages. They are improvements, to be sure, but they lack the
breathtaking impact the first iPhone had, with its pioneering fusion
of software and touch screens.
"Since then, it has been kind of incremental," said Chetan
Sharma, an independent mobile analyst. "It does not feel like there
is a big shift."
But big innovations in smartphones are not a thing of the past.
Incremental improvements can add up over a span of years, providing
the computing horsepower to enable big advances in software.
Breakthroughs in smartphone materials, software and even batteries
could lead to substantial changes in the way phones look and
function in the years ahead.
One of Apple's most intriguing recent efforts to redefine the
iPhone is Siri, the voice-activated virtual assistant that it
introduced in October with the iPhone 4S. The feature has the
potential to change the way consumers retrieve information on their
iPhones, enabling them to find information on the Web with natural
voice commands and to perform other tasks. The product, though, has
been criticized for its inaccuracies.
As Apple continues to improve Siri, Google, the maker of the
Android phone operating system, improves on its voice search
products. Google and some of its mobile phone partners have also
moved toward replacing the credit card with the smartphone, using a
technology called near-field communications that lets people make
payments wirelessly at cash registers.
That system has been slow to take off because most merchants do
not yet support it. Apple is taking a more cautious approach to new
mobile payment systems, offering a feature in its new iPhone
software called Passbook for storing electronic versions of store
payment, gift and loyalty cards.
Technology analysts say smartphones could again see big changes
akin to the one Apple introduced in 2007. Wearable computers are a
source of fascination at many Silicon Valley companies, especially
Google. The company has put tremendous effort behind Project Glass,
eyeglasslike frames that can display texts, e-mails and other
information from a smartphone on a miniature screen in front of the
wearer's eye.
Google has said that it plans to release a version of the
technology for developers that would cost $1,500 in the first half
of next year and a consumer version sometime after that.
Although it could take years of work before the technology
reaches mass market prices, researchers and some intrepid technology
companies said that they believed wearable computers could be
important in unlocking a new category of applications called
"augmented reality." Virtual objects and information could be
overlaid on the real world.
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News Column
'Wow' Factor in Smartphones Is Gone; Mobile Industry Shifts to Incremental Updates
September 28, 2012
NICK WINGFIELD
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