Every time it seems Illinois might be pulling out of its budgetary
tailspin, a new crisis hits.
The latest one, which Democratic Governor Pat Quinn wants lawmakers to
address during a special legislative session Friday (August 17), is the
state's ballooning annual pension payment. Those payments have become so large
they are eating up all of the state's new tax money and still forcing cuts to
schools and Medicaid.
Getting those required payments under control will be no easy task,
especially in a one-day session sandwiched between summer vacations and the
campaign season. The House will be preoccupied Friday with a vote to oust one
of its own members, who was indicted for taking bribes. Many expect a
consensus on pensions will not emerge until after the November elections. In
the meantime, Quinn faces intense opposition over pension changes that are
merely being considered. On Wednesday, he was heckled by a crowd of protesters
from public-employee unions in an appearance at the Illinois State Fair.
Even if legislators solve the latest pension problem, their relief may be
short-lived. The state still has a backlog of some $8 billion in unpaid bills,
and even under the rosiest predictions Illinois still will owe $6 billion at
the end of the fiscal year. Furthermore, big pieces of a major Medicaid
cost-cutting law could fall apart if the federal government rejects them. And
huge tax hikes that shored up the state's finances recently are set to expire
in little more than two years.
Getting religion
All the bad news, though, makes it easy to miss the fact that Illinois
has started to move past the wink-and-nod budgeting of years past. Illinois,
after all, is a state that has not had a balanced budget in at least 10 years.
But there are signs Springfield is finally getting religion when it comes to
fiscal responsibility.
The tax hikes were unpopular, but they gave elected officials breathing
room during the recession. They also came with spending caps and requirements
that will force legislators to look ahead more than one year when weighing how
much to spend on certain services.
Quinn's office says state spending has been pared back to what it was
five years ago. One of the most dramatic examples of that is a bipartisan
plan, passed this spring, to reduce the state's Medicaid bill by $2.7 billion.
Roughly a third of that amount will come from new revenues, such as a
cigarette tax hike, and two thirds from spending cuts. The law reduces state
payments for 62 different items, including eyeglasses, dentist visits, nursing
home rates and medicines.
And one reason the pension payments are so suddenly painful is that the
state is actually paying them, instead of borrowing money to cover the costs.
"We are on a solid fiscal footing," Illinois Senate President John
Cullerton, a Democrat, told Stateline. "We clearly have a balanced budget this
year, and we took $1.3 billion to pay down old debts... We hope, of course,
that the economy will grow between now and [the expiration of the tax hikes]
so we won't have to have a problem with our future balanced budgets."
"The day of reckoning was when Moody's downgraded us" in January, says
Representative Patti Bellock, a suburban Republican. Other rating agencies
warned that they, too, would lower the state's bond ratings if lawmakers made
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News Column
Illinois Lurches Forward, One Budget Crisis at a Time
Aug. 17, 2012
Daniel C. Vock, Stateline.org
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