News Column

Social Media Giant Facebook Needs New Friends

July 26, 2012

Ira Kantor

In the wake of its embarrassing initial public offering and amid questions about its mobile strategy, social media giant Facebook must top revenue estimates of $1.1 billion as it reports to Wall Street today, according to experts.

But the real key to soothing investors will be the conference call featuring company executives -- including CEO Mark Zuckerberg -- talking about Facebook's ability to make money outside the English-speaking world; the company's acquisition of Instagram; and 2012 as a whole, said Max Wolff, senior analyst at Greencrest Capital.

"Clearly the expectations have been brought down with the valuation of the company, since it's become a case study of how not to go public," Wolff said. "Some of the bloom came off the rose."

Facebook releases its second-quarter results -- the company's first since going public -- after the stock market closes today.

Facebook shares closed at $29.34 yesterday, a nearly 23 percent drop from its IPO opening price of $38 on May 18.

Wolff said the company would buy "some breathing room" in having to answer questions about photo-sharing app Instagram, which Facebook bought at nearly twice its valuation, if it beats earnings estimates.

"Doing a large acquisition before or right after an IPO is a bit unusual, so investors are going to want to know, 'OK, you spent a lot of money, you did an unusual acquisition -- what have you made of it?' " Wolff said. "We'll give you the benefit of the doubt that you had to make it, now show us why."

Francis Gaskins, president at ipodesk top.com, said $1.1 billion in second-quarter revenue was "not something to write home about" as the company would be "lucky" to generate $4.8 billion for the year, a "far cry" from $6 billion estimates floated around in January.

"They have a history of missing their numbers. The question is, do they have credibility talking about growth going forward," Gaskins said. "With $1.1 billion going forward, it's a lot of 'Trust me -- we're working on it -- because we have a big user base.' "



Source: (c) 2012 the Boston Herald. Distributed by MCT Information Services


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