The United States must develop a coordinated national strategy to strengthen
manufacturing, a slowly recovering but vital segment of Ohio's economy, or
risk decline and being overtaken by other nations, according to a new report
from the Brookings Institution.
The report from the nonprofit policy think tank in Washington, D.C.,
joins a growing chorus of voices from President Obama, leading conservatives
like Republican Sen. Rob Portman of Ohio and industry leaders who say
manufacturing is essential to the nation's economic recovery and ability to
restore the middle class. High-wage jobs, commercial innovation, and reducing
the nation's nearly $600 billion trade deficit are among key benefits, the
report said.
Rick Little, president of contract manufacturer Starwin Industries,
agreed.
"There needs to be national effort and some focus," Little said.
"Research and development, lifelong training for workers, there is real
benefit in that."
In Ohio, manufacturing is a mainstay, accounting for one of every 10 jobs
in the region and 2,400 companies.
The report refutes rationales against revitalizing the sector or suggest
it isn't in serious trouble because U.S. productivity is growing well.
Government productivity statistics mislead by wrongly including
offshore-produced parts and factory temp help, and wages here aren't too high
to compete globally, the report said.
U.S. industry will not recover "automatically" or be globally competitive
without national leadership, the report said. Low-paid service work isn't an
adequate replacement for manufacturing's power to innovate and build wealth.
Computers and electronics, chemicals including pharmaceuticals, transportation
equipment including aerospace and motor vehicles and parts, and machinery are
especially important. So is the need to support national defense.
Brookings describes itself as nonpartisan, but has been called
liberal-centrist.
Co-author and economist Howard Wial said the nation's challenges include
the loss of six million manufacturing jobs in a decade -- the most in U.S.
history. The more than 300,000 jobs gained since 2009 amounts to a trickle,
and those are coming back at lower wage rates.
Unless the U.S. does more, it'll be 2037 before manufacturing employment
reaches its previous level, Wial said. There is also a need to reform the
nation's trade management, he said.
Wial said key barriers include "a lack of political will and the common
belief in Washington that manufacturing doesn't matter until it's campaign
season. That applies to both political parties."
Support for changing policy is not universal. Former Obama administration
advisor Christina Romer in a recent New York Times op-ed piece attacked
changes of the sort Brookings advocates.
"A successful argument for a government manufacturing policy has to go
beyond the feeling that it's better to produce 'real things' than services,"
Romer wrote. "American consumers value health care and haircuts as much as
washing machines and hair dryers."
German manufacturing policy is a good model because it combines national
measures with support for individual manufacturers, the report said.
"German policy promotes a manufacturing sector in which highly paid,
skilled workers make innovative products that provide value for consumers,
profits for owners, and contributes to a better environment and a trade
surplus for the nation," it said. China, Japan, Denmark also have strong
policies.
Warren Davidson, owner of contract manufacturer West Troy, likes the
German model idea.
"Throwing Germany out as a benchmark is a better direction than we have
now, and better than Greece," he said, referring to that nation's debt crisis
and heavy reliance on service industries. "The challenges are that we need to
create jobs and we need talented people. We won't be globally competitive
unless we are truly productive."
Official statistics confuse increasing use of factory temp help with
growth, the report said. Although some argue that strong productivity growth
has caused much of America's manufacturing job loss, there's no economic
reason why greater productivity leads to job loss because the increase should
lower product prices and expand market size. That should lead to more worker
hires.
Offshoring industry stymies innovation later in areas like batteries,
semiconductors and electronics, the report said, because production and
innovation go together.
"The reason is that making products exposes engineers to both the
problems and the capabilities of existing technology, generating ideas both
for improved processes and for applications of a given technology to new
markets. Losing this exposure makes it harder to come up with innovative
ideas," the report said.
Making more manufactured goods in the U.S. is essential because it would
reduce the trade deficit, which has risen every year since 1976 and hobbles
job growth. It's been at least 2.7 percent of gross domestic product in every
year since 1999. It began rising again after the recession, increasing to 3.9
percent in the second quarter of 2011--a percentage that was higher than in
any year after 1999.
"In the long term the trade deficit can gradually erode the ability of
the United States to have a dynamic, innovation-driven economy because
Americans can lose the ability to innovate if they buy innovative products
from abroad rather than make them at home," the report said.
The situation isn't all bad. Although the U.S. runs a large trade
deficit, about 64 percent comes from just three industries: computers and
electronics, apparel, and transportation equipment. The U.S. runs trade
surpluses in machinery, chemicals (but, notably, not pharmaceuticals, which
are included in chemicals), food, paper, textile mills, and printing, the
report said.
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News Column
Manufacturing Key to Ohio's Recovery
Feb 22, 2012
Steve Bennish
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Source: (c)2012 the Hamilton JournalNews (Hamilton, Ohio)
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