Despite dealing with a struggling economy for four years, local residents and their counterparts around the nation have enjoyed historically low tax rates.
That could change, though, if members of Congress and President Barack
Obama cannot reach an agreement before Dec. 31 to avoid a so-called "fiscal
cliff," which would kick in with major tax increases coupled with large
spending cuts.
The tax increases and spending cuts, which make up about 4 percent of the
nation's Gross Domestic Product, are designed to lessen the federal budget
deficit.
"We've been enjoying things, and this time we're going to have to take
some harsh cough medicine so we don't leave a huge burden on our children,"
said Michael E. Spears, CRPC, a financial advisor with Ameriprise Financial of
Kinston.
The impact would be felt around the country, including in Kinston and
Lenoir County.
"If they don't cut a deal with this, everyone will be impacted," Spears
said. "You'll probably see the economy go into recession (and) unemployment
spike."
Several income tax breaks enacted years ago are scheduled to expire at
the end of the year, including the cuts to individual income tax rates, the
estate tax, capital gains and dividend tax rates and child taxes enacted under
former President George W. Bush in 2001 and 2003, according to The Washington
Post's Wonkblog.
The expansion of the Earned Income Tax Credit and American Opportunity
Tax Credit to more taxpayers in 2009 as part of Obama's stimulus package will
end as well, along with a 2 percent cut in employee payroll tax rates.
All together, the tax increases are worth $500 billion, according to
Wonkblog, a Washington Post policy watch website.
Americans also face about $200 billion in spending cuts, which are
required by the Budget Control Act of 2011, passed in the wake of last year's
debt ceiling crisis which resulted in a downgrading of the U.S. credit rating,
according to Wonkblog.
The sequestration includes a 2 percent cut in Medicare payments to health
care providers, which Spears said could have a major impact in Kinston, where
health care makes up a significant part of the local economy.
Wonkblog stated there will also be a cut "across the board" of 7.6
percent to 9.6 percent in federal "discretionary spending" in defense and
non-defense programs.
U.S. Sen. Kay Hagan, D-N.C., said in a Wednesday conference call with
North Carolina media --including The Free Press -- that such cuts in defense
spending would have a disastrous effect on military installations and
defense-related businesses in the Tar Heel State.
Hagan said North Carolina could lose 34,000 defense-related jobs by 2014;
the state could also lose $8.3 million in biomedical research funding and
millions more in education funding.
"We have a short time between now and the end of the year (to make a
deal)," Hagan told reporters. "Personally, I remain optimistic that we can put
the posturing behind us and enact a balanced deficit reduction plan."
U.S. Rep. Walter Jones, R-N.C., whose district includes sections of
Lenoir County, laid out some of the president's proposals to avoid the fiscal
cliff on his website, including $1.6 trillion in tax increases, $400 billion
in cuts to entitlement programs and ending Congress' control over the federal
debt limit.
Jones blasted those proposals as "token" and encouraged deeper cuts, such
as closing the U.S. Department of Education, ending the war in Afghanistan and
repealing Obama's health care reform plans.
"The president's proposal to permanently remove Congress's control over
the debt limit is outrageous," Jones stated. "The administration should read
the Constitution: Congress has the power of the purse, not the president."
Spears said if the tax cuts are extended, the majority of Americans would
not see an impact -- people making more than $250,000 a year would, though, as
Obama continues to push proposals to raise income taxes on high earners.
He noted the number of income tax brackets will shrink from six to five
in 2013, and the highest tax rate will increase from 35 percent to 39.6
percent.
"Our debt-to-GDP ratio is getting into some scary turf," Spears said.
"There are very few countries that have survived keeping a high debt-to-GDP
ratio."
Kinston resident John Nix, co-owner of the Matrix East PLLC surveying
firm, expected the effects of going over the fiscal cliff would be
"devastating."
"Over half the people in the country are receiving some sort of
taxpayer-subsidized benefits, and for us to have these kinds of cuts,
especially the military, it's just going to be mind boggling in terms of job
loss," he said.
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News Column
Understanding the 'Fiscal Cliff'
December 6, 2012
David Anderson
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