Do Republicans really have a primary problem?
Less than a month after prominent losses in several Senate races,
including Rep. Todd Akin's shellacking in Missouri, some GOP leaders say the
answer is yes.
To retake the federal government, they say, they must avoid nominees like
Akin or Indiana's Richard Mourdock, who struggled in the general election
after making controversial post-primary statements about rape and abortion.
"Candidates and campaigns matter," Sen. Roy Blunt of Missouri said after
suggesting that his party's leadership should become more involved in a
pre-primary screening process.
But avoiding Akin-like candidacies in 2014 will be much harder than it
sounds, other Republicans and outside observers said.
Who does the picking? On what basis would candidates be picked? Where do
voters fit in? And would hand-chosen candidates do any better than the current
system?
Hardwiring preferred candidates "is a fool's errand," said George Connor,
political science professor at Missouri State University in Springfield.
Such self-reflection and argument after an unexpected electoral beatdown
is common. Indeed, some Republicans worry their party will overcompensate for
Akin's defeat, which they blame on a series of factors unique to this election
cycle.
What's more, they say, politics ought not to be just about what will win
an election, but about electing people who carry out the party's values.
Messy primary outcomes aren't limited to the GOP. American politics is
much more open than it was in 1934, when Tom Pendergast anointed Harry Truman
as Missouri's Democratic nominee. An open selection process often leads to
candidates who do better with primary voters than the public at large.
For many Republicans, the Akin problem still stings. Party leaders
expected to gain control of the Senate in 2010 and 2012, only to watch the
chances slip away because of what they consider subpar candidates picked in
low-turnout primaries.
"What's (the) problem?" wrote conservative columnist Fred Barnes after
Election Day. "In Senate races, it's bad candidates: old hacks (Wisconsin),
young hacks (Florida), youngsters (Ohio), tea party types who can't talk about
abortion sensibly (Missouri, Indiana), retreads (Virginia), lousy campaigners
(North Dakota) and Washington veterans (Michigan). Losers all."
Finding good candidates -- even settling on whose definition of a good
candidate to go with -- is complicated.
"Grassroots people resent being told who to vote for," said former
Missouri House speaker Carl Bearden. "People distrust what is affectionately
known as the establishment. ... Primaries are for choosing the candidates
voters want to have."
Additionally, some candidates -- particularly wealthier ones -- no longer
rely on the party insiders. They would be unlikely to agree to step aside for
a candidate chosen by party elders.
"You can't control self-funded candidates," Connor said. "That cat is out
of the bag."
Before blowing up the candidate selection machinery, some Republicans say
their party faces a more fundamental issue: Did it lose Senate races because
candidates were too conservative, or because they weren't conservative enough?
That unanswered question popped up again last week in West Virginia,
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News Column
Avoiding Todd Akin: GOP Considers Reworking Primaries
Dec. 3, 2012
Dave Helling, The Kansas City Star
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