With just days left to make a deal, President Barack Obama and
members of the U.S. Senate were set to return to Washington with no
clear path out of their fiscal morass even as the Treasury
Department warned that the government will soon be unable to pay its
bills unless Congress acts.
Treasury Secretary Timothy F. Geithner, adding to the building
tension over how to handle a year-end pileup of threatened tax
increases and spending cuts, formally notified Congress on Wednesday
that the government would hit its statutory borrowing limit on
Monday, raising anew the threat of a government default as the two
parties remained in a standoff.
Mr. Geithner wrote that he would take "extraordinary measures" to
keep the government afloat but said that with so much uncertainty
over the shape of the tax code and future spending he did not know
how long the Treasury could shuffle accounts before the government
could no longer pay its creditors.
For months, Mr. Obama, members of Congress of both parties and
top economists have warned that the fragile U.S. economy could be
swept back into recession if the two parties did not come to a
compromise on the combination of tax increases and across-the-board
spending cuts set to take effect in January.
Yet with days left before the fiscal punch lands, both sides are
exhibiting little sense of urgency, and new public statements
Wednesday appeared to be designed more to ensure the other side is
blamed rather than to foster progress toward a deal.
After a high-level telephone conference call, House Republican
leaders called on the Senate to act but opened the door to bringing
to the House floor any last-minute legislation the Senate could
produce. "The House will take this action on whatever the Senate can
pass, but the Senate first must act," said the statement issued on
behalf of the House speaker, John A. Boehner, and his three top
lieutenants.
But Senator Harry Reid, the majority leader, instead called on
House Republicans to pass an existing Senate measure that would
prevent tax increases on household income up to $250,000. "The
Senate has already rejected House Republicans' Tea Party bills, and
no further legislation can move through the Senate until Republicans
drop their nee-jerk obstruction," he said in a statement.
Senators were set to return to the Capitol on Thursday evening
with nothing yet to consider. The series of votes waiting for them
are unrelated to the fiscal deadline. The House was to be gaveled
into session at 2 p.m., but since Mr. Boehner has not called the
members back to Washington, it will most likely be gaveled back into
recess shortly thereafter.
The shift to the Senate has focused new attention on Senator
Mitch McConnell of Kentucky, the Republican leader and a deal-
making veteran. Democrats say they need assurances from Mr.
McConnell that he will not use procedural tactics to delay any
potential bill for an interim solution to avert the fiscal crisis.
But Don Stewart, a spokesman for Mr. McConnell, said no one from
the White House or from Mr. Reid's office had reached out to begin
negotiations. Democrats say that Mr. McConnell knows full well what
they are proposing: the same Senate bill that passed in July
extending all the expiring Bush-era income tax cuts on incomes below
$250,000, setting the tax rate on dividends and capital gains at 20
percent, and stopping the alternative minimum tax from rising to hit
more middle-class taxpayers. Onto that, Democrats would like to add
an extension of expiring unemployment benefits and a delay in across-
the-board spending cuts while negotiations on a broader deficit
reduction plan slip into next year.
Democrats now suggest that Republicans are content to wait until
after the January deadline. On Jan. 3, Mr. Boehner is likely to be
re-elected speaker for the 113th Congress. After that roll call, he
may feel less pressure from his right flank against a deal.
For its part, the Senate may simply be out of time. Without
unanimous agreement, Mr. Reid would have to take procedural steps to
begin considering a bill. He could then be forced to press for
another vote to cut off debate before final passage. If forced to
jump through those hoops, the 112th Congress could expire before
final votes could be cast.
"I think there's some chance that we get a deal done in the early
weeks of January, which technically means you're going over the
cliff," Representative Jim Himes, Democrat of Connecticut, said on
CNBC on Wednesday.
Lawmakers from both parties say Mr. McConnell could be the
crucial to a resolution. He has played the role of adjudicator for
congressional Republicans before, during the fight last year over a
payroll tax extension and the battle between Democrats and
Republicans over how, or if, to pay for an emergency disaster
financing bill.
With days to spare, Mr. McConnell has to decide whether to allow
on the Senate floor the Democrats' bill to extend expiring tax cuts.
If passed without a filibuster, that legislation could force the
House speaker's hand and quiet his raucous Republican conference. Or
Mr. McConnell, who is up for re-election in 2014 and would like to
avoid a primary fight, could stand back quietly and hope that Mr.
Boehner and Mr. Obama somehow manage to put together a deal that
saves him the trouble.
If Mr. McConnell cannot come to the rescue, there is another
hope: Starbucks. Howard Schultz, the company's chief executive,
asked baristas who work in Washington-area Starbucks to scrawl "Come
Together" on coffee cups for the rest of the week to generate
enthusiasm for a compromise.
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News Column
US Lawmakers Return With No Path to Fiscal Deal
Dec. 27, 2012
Jonathan Weisman, Jennifer Steinhauer
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Source: (C) 2012 International Herald Tribune. via ProQuest Information and Learning Company; All Rights Reserved
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