For dairy farmers, 2012 was a year of high feed prices, due mainly to drought.
And as the holidays give way to a new year, 2013 is already shaping up to be a
year marked by uncertainty for dairymen.
For starters, Congress allowed the 2008 farm bill to expire to Sept. 30,
and its successor seems to have gotten lost amid campaigning and last-ditch
efforts to strike a debt deal.
The bill's expiration already means the Farm Service Agency has ended the
Milk Income Loss Contract Program (MILC), which paid dairy producers when
prices fell below certain levels.
And, analogous to the fast-approaching fiscal cliff, commentators have
begun to speak of a "Dairy Cliff."
It works like this: If Congress fails to act, the formula used to
calculate milk prices will revert to a 1949 calculation, which means the price
of milk is set to double Jan. 1 unless Congress intervenes.
Ben Shelton, owner of Rocky Creek Dairy & Veterinary Services in Olin,
said he has turned to the futures market to hedge his risk going into the new
year.
"It's a fairly new concept, it certainly has its risks and its not for
the faint of heart," Shelton said.
"We've done some for the last five or six years. We've definitely done a
lot better with protecting our feed cost than protecting our milk price."
Home to 12,000 dairy cattle, Iredell County ranks first in the state and
has a long history of dairy production.
Another looming problem, should Congress fail to act, is the elimination
of conservation programs that save everyone money in the long run.
For instance, Jimmy Gray, who runs Grayhouse Farms with his father and
brother in Stony Point, said they got money to help pay for renovations to
protect the water in their stream from contamination.
"The farm bill, if it cuts out programs like that, it's really a shame
because that's a tremendous help to everybody's water," he said.
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News Column
Price of Milk Could Spike in 2013
Dec. 27, 2012
John Hamlin, Statesville Record & Landmark, N.C.
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Source: (c)2012 Statesville Record & Landmark (Statesville, N.C.) Distributed by MCT Information Services
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