A SPUTTERING NEWT GINGRICH -- bracing for a momentum-shifting loss in today's
pivotal Florida primary -- will be severely tested next month as a gauntlet of
contests in Romney-friendly states such as Nevada and Michigan could sap the
Georgian's campaign and fundraising clout, political consultants said
yesterday.
"For all intents and purposes, the Gingrich candidacy will be effectively
over after a sizable loss in Florida," said GOP political consultant Mike
Dennehy, who ran U.S. Sen. John McCain's presidential campaign in 2008. "Mitt
Romney will clean up in those states (holding elections in February), just
like McCain did in 2008."
Yet Gingrich's demise has been predicted at least twice before -- last
spring and again earlier this month after dismal showings in Iowa and New
Hampshire. The former House speaker, who held several rallies in Florida
yesterday, vowed to stay in the race until Super Tuesday (March 6), which
features primaries in his home state of Georgia and friendly territory such as
Alabama and Tennessee.
"I think he's going to find this a long campaign," he said yesterday,
referring to Romney. Gingrich also sought to boost the spirits of his Sunshine
State supporters, saying today's primary would be close.
"It's closing here in Florida, and I think the next 24 hours are going to
make a big difference," he said.
Meanwhile, brimming with confidence, Romney dismissed Gingrich as "sad"
yesterday, while boasting to reporters: "You can sense that it's coming our
way.
A Gingrich defeat today could leave desperate conservatives howling for a
last-minute candidate like Sarah Palin to step up and derail the Romney
juggernaut.
"There is a vocal bunch of people that are adamantly opposed to Mitt
Romney as the nominee," said David Johnson, the former executive director of
Florida's Republican Party.
The Gingrich camp is scrambling for campaign cash to build field
organizations in Nevada and Arizona, but funding will likely dry up if
Gingrich can't prove he is a viable candidate, said Johnson.
"His challenge is having the financial resources to maintain a campaign.
... The money he raised from South Carolina is largely gone," said Johnson.
But Johnson pointed out Gingrich has climbed out of coffins before.
"If he can make it a close race, that re-scrambles the narrative. Perhaps
he'll be able to convert that to the dollars he needs to live off the land and
make it to the next debate," said Johnson.
Romney's camp vowed to continue its withering attacks on Gingrich.
"You're not going to see Romney go into cruise control after Florida,"
said Romney senior strategist Eric Fehrnstrom, according to the Los Angeles
Times.
Gingrich is already staffing up for the Feb. 4 Nevada caucus, a source
told the Herald, and while Romney and U.S. Rep. Ron Paul have better
organizations, the Georgia bulldog still has the backing of casino mogul
Sheldon Adelson.
Said Jack St. Martin, a Nevada-based Republican consultant: "Sheldon
Adelson has a great deal of influence and respect from Republicans."
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News Column
Big Fla. Loss Could Doom Newt Gingrich
Jan 30, 2012
Hillary Chabot
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Source: (c)2012 the Boston Herald
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