News Column

France and Germany To Test Nerves With 13 Billion Euro Debt Auction

Jan. 3, 2012

Russell Lynch

Euro notes

France and Germany were today preparing to give jittery debt markets their first test of 2012 amid warnings that the world's biggest nations must roll over a huge $7.6 trillion (pounds sterling 4.9 trillion) in borrowing this year.

The two powerhouses are bidding to sell around euro 13 billion (pounds sterling 10.8 billion) on Thursday in debt auctions likely to be closely watched by analysts looking for fresh signs of strain in the eurozone.

France, which is perilously close to losing its cherished AAA credit rating, will be under most scrutiny as it looks to raise up to euro 8 billion. Lloyds Bank Corporate Markets analyst Eric Wand said the auction was "likely to be tricky as downgrade fears linger."

Struggling Italy managed to get two debt auctions away over the Christmas break but was forced to pay almost 7 percent to borrow for 10 years, a level previously triggering bailouts in Portugal, Greece and Ireland.

Spain and Italy will be bidding to raise a combined euro 85 billion during the first three months of this year, but funding pressure on the region's strugglers is unlikely to recede as European leaders grapple to find a solution to the debt crisis.

"In the absence of a convincing long-term argument to support the still-vulnerable peripherals, we doubt that temporary support mechanisms can provide a sustainable architecture to stem the debt crisis we are witnessing," Wand said.

The warning came as research by Bloomberg revealed the combined G7 group of nations and the Bric economies of Brazil, India, Russia and China will have to refinance a $7.6 trillion debt mountain this year, up from $7.4 trillion in 2011, with most forced to pay more interest on their debts as investors become more risk averse.

Of the G7 nations, Italy must roll over some $428 billion in borrowing this year followed by France at $367 billion, although the Bric nations are in a far better state with Russia needing to tap markets for just $13 billion.

The International Monetary Fund has slashed its forecast for global growth this year from 4.5 percent to 4 percent as Europe's crisis lingers.



Source: (c) 2012 the London Evening Standard


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