News Column

Bernanke: Fed Ready To Act, But Not Just Yet

Aug. 26, 2011

Frank Brandmaier, dpa

Ben Bernanke

The U.S. central bank is ready to act in order to help the country's troubled economy, Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke said Friday without announcing concrete plans.

In a much-anticipated speech in Jackson Hole, Wyo., Bernanke said only that the Federal Open Market Committee will, in its meeting in September, "continue to assess the economic outlook."

"I can certainly appreciate these concerns and am fully aware of the challenges that we face in restoring economic and financial conditions conducive to healthy growth," he said.

Bernanke said, however, that his own view was "more optimistic."

"Although important problems certainly exist, the growth fundamentals of the United States do not appear to have been permanently altered by the shocks of the past four years. It may take some time, but we can reasonably expect to see a return to growth rates and employment levels consistent with those underlying fundamentals."

Bernanke admitted that recovery from the recent recession has been "much less robust" than the Fed hoped.

"The recession was even deeper and the recovery even weaker than we had thought; indeed, aggregate output in the United States still has not returned to the level that it attained before the crisis."

"The recession, besides being extraordinarily severe as well as global in scope, was also unusual in being associated with both a very deep slump in the housing market and a historic financial crisis. These two features of the downturn, individually and in combination, have acted to slow the natural recovery process," he said.

The U.S. Department of Commerce corrected downward Friday its estimated growth figures for the second quarter. Over that period, the country's GDP grew by only 1 percent, compared to the previous estimate of 1.3 percent.

In the first quarter, the U.S. economy had grown by only 0.4 percent, putting the total growth for the first half of the year at the lowest level for any such period since recovery began in mid-2009.

However, Bernanke stressed his belief that "growth in the second half looks likely to improve."

He also left no doubt that the Fed will intervene in the economy if it believes that to be necessary. The bank, he stressed, remains committed to doing "all that it can to help restore high rates of growth and employment in a context of price stability."

"The Federal Reserve has a range of tools that could be used to provide additional monetary stimulus," he said, without mentioning concrete measures.

Some market agents had hoped that Bernanke would announce specific steps to boost the economy, and also the sagging financial markets. In a similar appearance last year, he had announced the second stage of a programme whereby the Fed would buy back bonds worth billions of dollars.

The programme, which led the bank to inject 600 billion dollars into the market November-June, gave a huge boost to Wall Street.

There was speculation, for example, that the Fed might announce a third stage of this Quantitative Easing program, with a view to bracing low interest rates and to countering the economy's current weakness.

"The healing process should not leave major scars. Notwithstanding the trauma of the crisis and the recession, the U.S. economy remains the largest in the world, with a highly diverse mix of industries and a degree of international competitiveness that, if anything, has improved in recent years," Bernanke said.

He was, however, unusually outspoken in his criticism of recent talks to increase the ceiling on U.S. debt.

"The country would be well served by a better process for making fiscal decisions," he said.

Fiscal policymakers should not "disregard the fragility of the current economic recovery," Bernanke stressed.

"The negotiations that took place over the summer disrupted financial markets and probably the economy as well, and similar events in the future could, over time, seriously jeopardize the willingness of investors around the world to hold US financial assets or to make direct investments in job-creating US businesses."



Source: Copyright 2011 dpa Deutsche Presse-Agentur GmbH


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